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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.44+8.56vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+5.32vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+3.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.64vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+3.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.08vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99+0.70vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+1.27vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.47+0.57vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-6.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-1.69vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-5.71vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-4.22vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.562.440.0%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.16Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.57Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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10.31Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.48Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Paz | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Emma White | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 16.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Camille Matile | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 14.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.