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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.06vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.74vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+5.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.70vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+4.26vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+3.87vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+1.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-0.46vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-2.10vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-3.69vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-4.48vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.47-2.11vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-4.97vs Predicted
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142.44-4.31vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.54Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.31Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.692.440.0%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.9% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% |
| Camille Matile | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 15.7% |
| Emma White | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Mary Paz | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.