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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+5.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.43vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.23vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+4.99vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+2.63vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-2.12vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.96vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-2.65vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.16vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-1.73vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-3.68vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-2.96vs Predicted
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142.44-4.26vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.47-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.43Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.99Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.35Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.742.440.0%1st Place
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9.58Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Emma White | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 16.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Camille Matile | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.4% |
| Mary Paz | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.