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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+5.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+4.01vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.47+4.63vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+0.43vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99+0.74vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.98vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.36+0.94vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-3.70vs Predicted
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112.44-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-2.49vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.12vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.33vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.41-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.37Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.43Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.94Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.3Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.82.440.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.88Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 15.0% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Emma White | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Mary Paz | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Camille Matile | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.