Race 11A

victorian-coffee-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Casey Klingler 8.2% 6.0% 7.6% 7.5% 7.3% 6.6% 7.4% 6.7% 7.1% 7.7% 6.4% 6.3% 6.2% 4.6% 4.4%
Ragna Agerup 3.4% 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 4.7% 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 6.4% 6.9% 6.6% 8.2% 9.1% 12.1% 11.4%
Hannah Polster 10.4% 10.2% 9.2% 9.2% 8.5% 8.2% 8.9% 6.8% 6.6% 6.6% 5.0% 4.9% 2.8% 1.7% 1.0%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 10.0% 10.1% 8.4% 10.2% 9.5% 5.6% 6.2% 8.5% 7.3% 6.4% 5.0% 6.0% 2.8% 2.8% 1.2%
MaryClaire Kiernan 5.9% 6.0% 7.6% 5.5% 5.4% 6.2% 5.8% 6.8% 8.2% 6.8% 8.5% 8.5% 6.6% 6.4% 5.8%
Allyson Donahue 9.4% 9.4% 7.8% 7.8% 10.0% 8.1% 8.5% 8.0% 7.2% 6.1% 6.5% 4.1% 4.0% 1.8% 1.3%
Emma White 7.0% 6.5% 5.6% 6.4% 6.7% 8.0% 7.3% 6.5% 8.5% 8.3% 7.0% 6.1% 6.2% 5.8% 4.1%
Taylor Ladd 5.2% 5.3% 4.8% 5.6% 5.8% 6.7% 6.9% 6.1% 6.0% 7.8% 7.2% 8.8% 7.7% 9.1% 7.0%
Lindsay Doyle 3.5% 4.6% 4.1% 4.4% 5.7% 6.1% 6.2% 7.0% 6.0% 7.6% 7.1% 9.8% 8.5% 9.8% 9.6%
Dana Rohde 8.4% 9.8% 10.9% 10.1% 7.8% 9.0% 8.6% 7.0% 6.8% 5.3% 4.3% 5.4% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7%
Mary Paz 3.2% 3.3% 5.8% 3.8% 4.6% 4.6% 4.2% 7.0% 6.1% 5.9% 7.9% 7.8% 9.9% 10.5% 15.4%
Kelsey Shakin 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 6.0% 4.9% 5.3% 4.3% 6.0% 5.9% 8.6% 8.5% 10.7% 11.8% 17.1%
Rachel Bryer 13.8% 13.2% 11.3% 12.3% 8.2% 8.7% 7.6% 7.7% 5.8% 4.0% 3.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Annie Hughes 4.9% 4.8% 5.8% 5.3% 5.3% 6.9% 5.9% 6.9% 5.9% 7.7% 8.7% 7.1% 10.0% 7.9% 6.9%
Camille Matile 3.7% 4.3% 4.2% 3.9% 4.5% 4.7% 5.2% 4.7% 6.1% 7.0% 7.7% 7.3% 10.4% 12.6% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.