← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Tufts University2.75+0.08vs Predicted
-
3Amherst College0.96+1.95vs Predicted
-
4McGill University1.60-0.23vs Predicted
-
5Brandeis University1.25-0.54vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut0.66-0.50vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College1.84-3.61vs Predicted
-
8McGill University0.37-2.01vs Predicted
-
9Queen's University0.38-3.13vs Predicted
-
10University of Connecticut0.66-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08Tufts University2.750.4%1st Place
-
4.95Amherst College0.960.1%1st Place
-
3.77McGill University1.600.1%1st Place
-
4.46Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.5University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
-
3.39Middlebury College1.840.2%1st Place
-
5.99McGill University0.370.0%1st Place
-
5.87Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
-
5.5University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Altreuter | 43.1% | 27.3% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Leif Macdonald | 13.5% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 8.4% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Dragone | 16.7% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tsang | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 21.6% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.