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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.16vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.20vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+5.20vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+2.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+4.52vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-2.31vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.47+1.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.27vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-2.48vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-1.35vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-2.82vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-1.39vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.44-4.68vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.15Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.52Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.65Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.61Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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6.04Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Camille Matile | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 31.7% |
| Mary Paz | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.