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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.54+6.77vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+5.31vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+2.59vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+4.01vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+1.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-1.90vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.97+1.84vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58-1.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.81vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-2.02vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.42-0.23vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.33-7.48vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.27-2.11vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.59Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.01Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.66Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.52Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.89Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Annie Spence | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 29.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 31.5% |
| Emily Wright | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.