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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+4.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+2.59vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+2.87vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+3.15vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+3.02vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+0.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.92vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.58-2.14vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.97-1.92vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.67vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.27-2.14vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.42-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.13Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.59Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.86Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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11.41Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte List | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 32.0% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.