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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+4.65vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+5.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+5.90vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+3.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.63vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84-0.18vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+1.10vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.18-3.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.42+1.57vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-5.58vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.97-1.95vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.27-0.97vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-6.51vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.58-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.87Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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6.82Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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5.63Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.42Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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12.03Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 18.8% | 26.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Annie Spence | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 34.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.