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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+5.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+5.32vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.13vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.13vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+0.77vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+1.95vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.97+2.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.58vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.27+2.95vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.82vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-2.03vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.18-6.06vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.58-4.93vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-6.00vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.42-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.13Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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11.95Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.94Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.0Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Annie Spence | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 32.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte List | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.