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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+6.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+4.46vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.58+3.69vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+1.99vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.85vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-1.31vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+0.07vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.27+2.96vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-4.67vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.42+0.49vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-6.08vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.54-4.80vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.97-4.25vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.69Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.07Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.96Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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5.33Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.49Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.92Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 30.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 28.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Annie Spence | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 9.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.