Race 10A

mcgill-cup-open-canadian-nationals

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
James Altreuter 42.4% 27.2% 16.2% 8.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Stephanie Dowling 7.2% 8.8% 9.6% 13.4% 16.6% 17.1% 15.9% 11.4% 0.0%
James Fales 5.6% 7.1% 7.9% 10.5% 13.1% 17.0% 18.5% 20.3% 0.0%
Leif Macdonald 12.8% 15.5% 17.4% 17.3% 15.1% 13.8% 5.6% 2.5% 0.0%
James Fales 5.6% 7.1% 7.9% 10.5% 13.1% 17.0% 18.5% 20.3% 0.0%
Emily Tsang 3.3% 4.9% 6.3% 8.7% 10.3% 15.3% 22.9% 28.3% 0.0%
Bianca Dragone 16.5% 17.8% 21.7% 16.9% 13.4% 7.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Joy MacDonald 4.3% 4.8% 6.2% 8.4% 10.7% 15.0% 20.5% 30.1% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 7.9% 13.9% 14.7% 16.2% 17.3% 12.9% 11.4% 5.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.