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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.68vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+4.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.60vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.58+5.25vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+4.98vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.69+0.99vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.59+0.26vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-1.91vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85+1.16vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.44-1.67vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-4.18vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.59-2.50vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.89-3.62vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.30-6.82vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.26-1.07vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.50-4.64vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.13-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.3110.9%1st Place
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6.63Jacksonville University2.109.9%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.675.4%1st Place
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9.25University of Pennsylvania1.585.1%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.2%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.9%1st Place
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7.99Florida State University1.696.3%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University1.596.4%1st Place
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7.09Fordham University1.987.4%1st Place
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11.16Eckerd College0.853.6%1st Place
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9.33George Washington University1.445.5%1st Place
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7.82Boston University1.397.2%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University1.594.2%1st Place
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10.38Connecticut College0.894.2%1st Place
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8.18Webb Institute1.307.0%1st Place
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14.93University of Michigan-0.261.2%1st Place
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12.36SUNY Maritime College0.502.6%1st Place
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13.52University of Wisconsin0.131.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Peter Foley | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 42.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.