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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+5.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+3.63vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+2.63vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.27vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.27+6.86vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.86vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.58+0.71vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+0.13vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.35vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-2.01vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-4.24vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.97-2.94vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-6.15vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.42-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.63Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.63Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.86Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.13Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.45Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 33.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte List | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.