Race 11B

victorian-coffee-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nikole Barnes 15.8% 17.3% 13.1% 10.7% 8.9% 8.9% 6.7% 7.2% 4.6% 2.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Louisa Nordstrom 12.5% 12.2% 10.2% 10.6% 10.8% 9.3% 7.5% 7.3% 5.2% 4.7% 4.7% 2.4% 1.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Isabella Loosbrock 9.5% 10.2% 11.3% 8.8% 8.5% 9.0% 8.7% 7.8% 8.4% 6.6% 5.5% 2.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Lydia Grasberger 6.9% 7.2% 7.7% 7.7% 9.0% 7.8% 6.3% 7.7% 8.9% 7.6% 6.7% 6.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.6%
Molly Pleskus 3.6% 5.0% 4.7% 4.3% 4.3% 4.7% 5.7% 7.2% 5.7% 7.9% 8.9% 10.3% 11.9% 8.7% 7.1%
Margaret Kilvert 4.9% 5.6% 5.5% 5.3% 5.7% 6.5% 7.2% 7.8% 8.9% 10.3% 8.4% 7.8% 7.5% 6.2% 2.4%
Hannah Steadman 11.1% 7.9% 9.3% 9.4% 10.8% 10.0% 8.2% 8.0% 5.2% 6.9% 5.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Maia Agerup 5.0% 5.1% 6.5% 6.4% 6.1% 6.8% 8.1% 6.9% 8.7% 8.0% 8.6% 8.0% 7.3% 5.5% 3.0%
Charlotte List 4.5% 4.6% 5.2% 6.2% 7.4% 5.5% 7.6% 7.3% 9.6% 8.3% 9.0% 8.8% 8.0% 5.7% 2.3%
Annie Spence 3.0% 2.8% 2.2% 3.2% 4.1% 5.5% 5.6% 4.5% 6.0% 6.4% 8.4% 12.0% 12.7% 12.7% 10.9%
Taylor Gavula 5.4% 5.7% 6.5% 7.6% 7.6% 6.4% 7.1% 6.5% 9.0% 8.2% 7.1% 7.3% 7.1% 5.7% 2.8%
Emily Gonzalez 1.5% 0.9% 1.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 2.7% 2.8% 4.3% 5.3% 5.1% 8.0% 9.3% 19.4% 34.8%
Sarah Hermus 11.4% 10.1% 8.8% 12.6% 7.8% 9.1% 8.3% 9.8% 7.4% 5.1% 5.2% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Greta Farrell 3.5% 3.6% 4.1% 3.8% 5.4% 5.9% 6.5% 6.2% 4.9% 7.2% 9.7% 11.1% 11.6% 9.9% 6.6%
Sofia Kirkman 1.4% 1.8% 3.1% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 3.0% 3.2% 5.2% 6.2% 8.9% 10.9% 17.7% 27.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.