Race 12B

victorian-coffee-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nikole Barnes 17.1% 14.7% 13.4% 11.8% 9.6% 7.9% 6.5% 6.7% 4.1% 3.8% 1.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Hannah Steadman 10.1% 11.0% 9.9% 8.9% 9.9% 9.3% 7.9% 8.0% 6.6% 5.7% 5.1% 3.8% 1.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Molly Pleskus 3.8% 3.5% 4.7% 4.4% 5.0% 5.5% 7.1% 6.2% 8.0% 7.4% 7.7% 11.3% 11.0% 9.4% 5.0%
Charlotte List 4.3% 5.1% 6.9% 4.6% 6.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.2% 6.7% 8.6% 9.6% 9.2% 7.8% 6.4% 3.6%
Louisa Nordstrom 12.0% 10.5% 9.4% 10.3% 8.8% 9.9% 9.1% 8.7% 5.8% 5.0% 4.1% 3.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Lydia Grasberger 6.6% 7.8% 6.9% 6.6% 6.7% 7.0% 10.0% 8.0% 9.3% 8.7% 6.9% 6.9% 4.8% 2.9% 0.9%
Taylor Gavula 7.1% 5.2% 6.1% 6.5% 6.5% 6.6% 7.5% 9.4% 8.6% 7.7% 8.2% 7.5% 6.3% 4.7% 2.1%
Greta Farrell 3.8% 3.1% 4.7% 4.9% 4.7% 4.9% 6.5% 6.2% 6.0% 8.1% 8.7% 9.2% 11.9% 11.4% 5.9%
Maia Agerup 4.9% 5.6% 4.0% 7.6% 8.1% 6.9% 6.6% 8.1% 8.8% 9.6% 8.0% 8.5% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0%
Isabella Loosbrock 8.9% 10.1% 9.3% 9.7% 10.3% 9.0% 7.2% 8.1% 8.7% 6.1% 5.3% 3.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Margaret Kilvert 4.8% 5.1% 6.4% 5.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.4% 7.8% 7.2% 7.9% 8.0% 7.9% 8.6% 5.8% 4.4%
Emily Gonzalez 1.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 1.7% 2.5% 4.3% 4.5% 6.7% 7.2% 10.8% 17.6% 35.8%
Annie Spence 1.9% 3.0% 3.8% 3.5% 5.4% 3.7% 4.3% 4.5% 5.7% 6.6% 8.3% 10.7% 12.8% 14.0% 11.8%
Sarah Hermus 12.0% 12.2% 11.0% 11.2% 7.9% 9.1% 9.6% 6.8% 6.4% 5.3% 4.0% 2.4% 0.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Sofia Kirkman 1.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 2.8% 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 7.7% 7.7% 10.7% 18.2% 27.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.