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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.94vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+6.38vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.49+3.81vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+2.76vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50+1.63vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.97vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.52-0.37vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.40vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.97vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.21+0.33vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.75+3.03vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.14-4.89vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.68vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.46vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech1.14-1.71vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.51-3.69vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech1.14-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.38Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.81George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.76Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.63Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.63Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.46SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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11.33Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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15.03Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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8.11Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.54Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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14.29Virginia Tech1.140.0%1st Place
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13.31Queen's University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.29Virginia Tech1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.0% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 18.9% | 44.8% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 24.4% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Montagnese | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 24.4% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.