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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.01vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.50+4.64vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.49+3.76vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.75+10.96vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.08vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+2.18vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.90vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+3.74vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.21+1.22vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.51-4.12vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-7.10vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-6.25vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.22vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech1.14-0.87vs Predicted
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16Hampton University3.02-7.59vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech1.14-2.87vs Predicted
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18Queen's University1.51-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.64Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.76George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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14.96Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.18Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.74Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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11.22Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.88Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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4.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.78SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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14.13Virginia Tech1.140.0%1st Place
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8.41Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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14.13Virginia Tech1.140.0%1st Place
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13.36Queen's University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 42.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.8% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 25.1% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 25.1% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Montagnese | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.