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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.00vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+4.67vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+3.79vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.75+10.97vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+1.56vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.80+2.20vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.13vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.14+5.36vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.96vs Predicted
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11Hampton University3.02-2.48vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.41vs Predicted
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13Queen's University1.51+0.33vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech1.14+0.36vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.76vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.14-8.01vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University2.21-5.71vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.67George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.79Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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14.97Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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6.56Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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4.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
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14.36Virginia Tech1.140.0%1st Place
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6.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.52Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.59SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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13.33Queen's University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.36Virginia Tech1.140.0%1st Place
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6.24U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.99Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.29Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.64Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 19.1% | 44.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 15.8% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 23.9% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Montagnese | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 21.3% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 23.9% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.