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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+5.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.05vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+5.40vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.91vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+1.24vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.25vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.50-1.41vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.75+6.11vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.51+3.29vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-4.76vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech1.15+2.16vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.14-4.92vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-1.28vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.52-8.35vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-4.70vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech1.15-2.84vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.69-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.4Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.24Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.59Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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15.11Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.29Queen's University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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14.16Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.08Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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12.72Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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6.65Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.3Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.16Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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9.64SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 20.1% | 43.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Montagnese | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 21.5% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 21.5% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.