Race 11A

mcgill-cup-open-canadian-nationals

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
James Altreuter 43.9% 28.1% 14.0% 8.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 9.5% 9.6% 14.2% 16.9% 15.9% 15.1% 13.0% 5.8% 0.0%
Leif Macdonald 13.4% 15.9% 17.8% 16.8% 15.0% 12.8% 5.7% 2.6% 0.0%
James Fales 5.1% 6.0% 9.4% 10.0% 13.4% 15.7% 21.4% 19.0% 0.0%
Bianca Dragone 15.4% 21.7% 20.6% 14.7% 13.5% 8.4% 4.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Stephanie Dowling 6.5% 7.8% 12.3% 15.7% 13.7% 17.1% 14.3% 12.6% 0.0%
Emily Tsang 3.6% 4.9% 5.7% 8.9% 10.8% 14.1% 19.7% 32.3% 0.0%
James Fales 5.1% 6.0% 9.4% 10.0% 13.4% 15.7% 21.4% 19.0% 0.0%
Joy MacDonald 2.6% 6.0% 6.0% 8.9% 13.8% 15.2% 21.0% 26.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.