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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.89vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+5.02vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+3.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.19vs Predicted
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5Hampton University3.02+3.22vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.75+9.10vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.80+2.22vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.15+5.96vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.14-0.90vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-5.22vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-4.15vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-5.26vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-6.80vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.25vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.51-1.77vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-4.66vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-4.34vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech1.15-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.02Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.73Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.22Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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15.1Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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13.96Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.1Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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4.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
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6.85Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.74George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.75SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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13.23Queen's University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.34Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.66Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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13.96Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 21.2% | 43.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 23.0% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 15.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Montagnese | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 23.0% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.