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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+6.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.89vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.49+3.65vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+4.38vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50+1.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.22vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.55vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.97vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.14-0.97vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-3.50vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.14+3.18vs Predicted
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12Queen's University1.51+1.23vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.39vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-9.17vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.51-8.36vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-4.73vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.75-1.94vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech1.14-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.65George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.38Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.51Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.55SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.03Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.5Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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14.18Virginia Tech1.140.0%1st Place
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13.23Queen's University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.61Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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4.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.64Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.27Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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15.06Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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14.18Virginia Tech1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tara | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 23.3% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Montagnese | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 21.0% | 43.4% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 23.3% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.