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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.41+4.63vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+4.25vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+8.79vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.61vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.02vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+6.24vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26+1.55vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.81-4.25vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.54-1.31vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.65+0.79vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-5.62vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-5.25vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.05vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.82-3.58vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-5.86vs Predicted
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17Queen's University0.88-2.88vs Predicted
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18Princeton University1.09-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.25Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.79Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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5.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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13.24Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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9.55Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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4.75Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.79Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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6.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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11.42Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.14SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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14.12Queen's University0.880.0%1st Place
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13.58Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Friesecke | 13.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.3% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.9% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Vos | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.