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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+3.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.85vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.05vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.25+0.56vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41-1.11vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26+1.71vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.82-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.84vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.54-1.99vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.47vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.60vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech1.65-1.96vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.09-1.43vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.82-4.58vs Predicted
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17Queen's University0.88-2.82vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech1.65-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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6.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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5.05U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.56Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.89George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.71Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.02Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.01Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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13.47Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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10.4SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.04Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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13.57Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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11.42Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.18Queen's University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.04Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 20.3% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Vos | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.