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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.68vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.07vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+1.59vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+5.72vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.14+4.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.95vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.10vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25-1.81vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54-0.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.92vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.41-5.10vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech1.65-0.33vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-5.14vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech1.65-2.33vs Predicted
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15Queen's University0.88-1.24vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.02vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.82-5.80vs Predicted
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18Princeton University-1.05-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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9.72Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.86SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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6.19Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.9Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.9George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.67Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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7.86Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.67Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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13.76Queen's University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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11.2Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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16.5Princeton University-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 11.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Vos | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 34.8% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 24.3% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Donohue | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 9.2% | 80.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.