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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+3.47vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+3.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.11vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.25+2.38vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.82+2.64vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41-0.07vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.14+3.18vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26+1.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.98vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.65+0.75vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech1.65-0.25vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-4.28vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-7.67vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.82-3.69vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.88-2.30vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.87vs Predicted
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18Princeton University-0.51-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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5.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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5.11U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.38Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.64Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.93George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.18SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.52Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.75Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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11.75Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.31Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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13.7Queen's University0.880.0%1st Place
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13.13Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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16.17Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 17.6% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Vos | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 30.7% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 20.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 12.4% | 71.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.