← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.59+9.40vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.10+4.53vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.44+6.33vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.98+2.97vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University1.69+3.05vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.43vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.59+1.19vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+3.00vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.36vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.39-2.26vs Predicted
-
11University of Michigan-0.26+3.96vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.89-1.58vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College0.85-1.95vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College0.50-1.58vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin0.13-1.48vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania1.58-6.70vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-8.35vs Predicted
-
18Webb Institute1.30-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.4Northeastern University1.594.5%1st Place
-
6.53Jacksonville University2.109.8%1st Place
-
9.33George Washington University1.445.4%1st Place
-
6.97Fordham University1.988.6%1st Place
-
8.05Florida State University1.696.0%1st Place
-
7.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.8%1st Place
-
8.19Old Dominion University1.596.3%1st Place
-
11.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.4%1st Place
-
6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.3110.7%1st Place
-
7.74Boston University1.397.8%1st Place
-
14.96University of Michigan-0.260.9%1st Place
-
10.42Connecticut College0.893.5%1st Place
-
11.05Eckerd College0.853.2%1st Place
-
12.42SUNY Maritime College0.501.9%1st Place
-
13.52University of Wisconsin0.132.2%1st Place
-
9.3University of Pennsylvania1.585.1%1st Place
-
8.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.676.3%1st Place
-
8.42Webb Institute1.306.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Foley | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 41.3% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 20.8% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.