Race 12A

mcgill-cup-open-canadian-nationals

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Leif Macdonald 11.9% 18.7% 19.2% 15.8% 13.4% 10.2% 8.0% 2.8% 0.0%
James Altreuter 42.5% 27.5% 14.1% 9.8% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Bianca Dragone 17.0% 19.3% 19.7% 16.8% 13.4% 8.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 9.7% 10.5% 13.9% 16.0% 15.7% 15.0% 11.6% 7.6% 0.0%
Stephanie Dowling 6.2% 7.6% 12.6% 13.7% 15.1% 16.5% 17.6% 10.7% 0.0%
Emily Tsang 4.4% 4.2% 6.4% 8.7% 11.7% 15.3% 17.9% 31.4% 0.0%
James Fales 4.7% 6.6% 8.2% 11.0% 12.8% 16.4% 19.2% 21.1% 0.0%
James Fales 4.7% 6.6% 8.2% 11.0% 12.8% 16.4% 19.2% 21.1% 0.0%
Joy MacDonald 3.6% 5.6% 5.9% 8.2% 13.4% 16.9% 21.3% 25.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.