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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.75vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.18vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.14+7.28vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+0.68vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+1.29vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.82+2.06vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54+1.93vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41-2.23vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.43vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.96+0.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.91vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.47vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.26-3.01vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-8.73vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech1.65-3.04vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.88-1.75vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.09-3.31vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech1.65-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.28SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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4.68Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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6.29Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.93Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.77George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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10.88Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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13.47Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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9.99Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.96Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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14.25Queen's University0.880.0%1st Place
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13.69Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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11.96Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 11.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Vos | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 20.8% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.