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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.74vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+7.22vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+2.84vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+0.74vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+4.67vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+0.50vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25-0.57vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.87vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-2.91vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.82-2.23vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.65+1.02vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.50vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-3.95vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech1.65-1.98vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.09-1.30vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.96-5.05vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-6.57vs Predicted
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18Queen's University0.88-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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5.84George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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4.74Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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9.67Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.43Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.77Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.02Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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13.5Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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9.05Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.02Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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13.7Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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10.95Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.43SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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14.22Queen's University0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 21.0% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Vos | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.