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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+3.55vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+4.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.20vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+5.90vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.14vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.94vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.96+2.77vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41-2.97vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.26vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-2.96vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.09+1.61vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.61vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-4.93vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech1.65-3.02vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.88-1.76vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.52vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech1.65-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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6.32Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.2U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.9Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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10.77Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.03George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.26SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.04Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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13.61Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.07Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.98Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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14.24Queen's University0.880.0%1st Place
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13.48Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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11.98Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 16.4% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 20.2% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Vos | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.