Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Memoli 9.3% 10.5% 9.9% 10.6% 12.3% 11.0% 11.6% 10.8% 7.9% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Coleen Ross 2.7% 3.8% 4.2% 4.5% 6.1% 6.0% 7.4% 11.7% 16.7% 18.7% 12.5% 5.7%
Henry Sharpe 20.0% 14.5% 17.3% 13.0% 12.2% 9.8% 6.7% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline Salas 7.4% 7.1% 8.9% 9.9% 11.3% 10.3% 11.7% 12.2% 11.8% 6.4% 2.2% 0.8%
Autumn Becker 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 3.3% 3.3% 5.4% 9.3% 14.1% 26.0% 30.7%
John Reyes 17.3% 14.9% 13.6% 13.4% 11.4% 10.1% 8.9% 5.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Giacobbe 13.6% 15.5% 13.3% 10.9% 10.9% 11.2% 11.2% 6.6% 3.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Nathan Drezner 7.0% 6.6% 5.3% 7.9% 7.0% 8.9% 11.4% 14.2% 12.6% 10.6% 5.9% 2.6%
John Duncan 10.0% 11.0% 12.4% 13.1% 11.4% 11.7% 10.2% 9.7% 6.5% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Nathaniel Wiener 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 5.1% 7.4% 14.7% 24.7% 35.7%
Lucie Ford 9.2% 12.4% 9.8% 10.3% 11.5% 13.1% 11.4% 9.0% 8.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Sabrina McDonnell 1.3% 1.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.8% 2.4% 3.7% 5.8% 10.8% 19.7% 24.4% 24.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.