Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Duncan 10.5% 9.5% 10.6% 10.2% 12.4% 12.4% 11.5% 10.0% 6.8% 4.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Henry Sharpe 18.9% 18.4% 15.4% 13.9% 10.7% 10.3% 5.5% 4.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Salas 8.9% 6.9% 9.0% 8.6% 9.7% 10.8% 12.3% 12.8% 11.9% 6.1% 2.3% 0.7%
John Reyes 14.6% 16.3% 13.8% 13.5% 12.7% 9.6% 7.3% 5.9% 4.4% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Giacobbe 13.8% 12.9% 13.5% 12.2% 12.4% 10.9% 8.7% 7.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Nathan Drezner 5.1% 5.5% 7.5% 5.8% 8.8% 9.2% 11.3% 13.8% 14.5% 10.4% 7.1% 1.0%
Coleen Ross 3.0% 5.0% 3.0% 5.5% 5.3% 7.2% 9.1% 10.8% 15.2% 17.7% 12.9% 5.3%
Lucie Ford 12.3% 11.0% 11.5% 12.5% 9.7% 10.1% 11.9% 9.8% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5%
Nicholas Memoli 9.6% 10.4% 11.6% 12.0% 12.0% 12.7% 11.9% 8.6% 6.9% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Nathaniel Wiener 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 2.2% 2.4% 1.8% 2.9% 4.5% 7.7% 15.0% 23.0% 37.2%
Autumn Becker 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 2.4% 4.6% 5.7% 8.0% 16.2% 26.0% 30.6%
Sabrina McDonnell 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 6.2% 11.3% 18.2% 25.2% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.