Race 3A

noringer-backup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lucie Ford 10.2% 9.7% 11.3% 11.6% 11.5% 11.2% 12.7% 9.7% 6.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.4%
John Reyes 15.1% 16.2% 14.6% 14.0% 12.5% 8.6% 8.5% 6.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Giacobbe 13.7% 11.3% 14.6% 12.4% 10.6% 11.7% 11.2% 8.2% 4.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 8.9% 10.8% 11.7% 11.9% 12.2% 10.9% 10.7% 8.2% 8.2% 4.9% 1.5% 0.1%
Henry Sharpe 19.5% 18.0% 16.7% 12.9% 9.9% 9.0% 5.8% 4.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
John Duncan 10.3% 12.0% 9.0% 10.9% 12.1% 14.2% 8.4% 11.0% 6.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Nathan Drezner 5.9% 6.5% 6.2% 7.8% 8.5% 8.3% 11.5% 13.4% 14.3% 11.1% 4.4% 2.1%
Caroline Salas 9.2% 7.7% 9.1% 9.2% 9.5% 12.6% 11.3% 11.6% 10.6% 5.8% 2.8% 0.6%
Nathaniel Wiener 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 3.1% 4.2% 9.0% 14.3% 27.2% 34.1%
Sabrina McDonnell 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 2.8% 2.4% 3.7% 7.3% 10.3% 18.7% 24.1% 22.8%
Autumn Becker 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 4.6% 5.1% 6.7% 16.1% 23.3% 34.8%
Coleen Ross 3.5% 3.9% 2.9% 4.1% 6.5% 6.3% 8.5% 10.8% 17.1% 18.0% 13.3% 5.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.