Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Henry Sharpe 18.6% 15.7% 17.3% 13.5% 11.3% 9.2% 7.1% 3.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
John Duncan 9.8% 12.1% 11.1% 10.1% 12.4% 12.7% 10.3% 10.4% 7.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Wiener 1.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 4.4% 7.1% 13.6% 24.2% 37.7%
John Reyes 15.5% 15.1% 14.6% 13.3% 12.7% 9.6% 8.3% 5.5% 3.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Giacobbe 13.0% 14.1% 14.0% 11.7% 12.4% 10.6% 8.6% 6.7% 5.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 10.1% 12.3% 9.2% 12.1% 11.7% 10.6% 11.5% 11.3% 7.0% 2.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Caroline Salas 8.6% 8.3% 7.6% 10.8% 9.7% 11.0% 11.8% 12.8% 9.3% 6.4% 3.1% 0.6%
Nicholas Memoli 12.0% 9.5% 12.0% 10.4% 9.8% 11.4% 10.5% 10.4% 8.6% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
Coleen Ross 2.3% 3.2% 4.1% 5.5% 5.0% 8.3% 9.6% 10.8% 17.7% 18.1% 11.7% 3.7%
Sabrina McDonnell 1.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.5% 2.1% 3.8% 6.7% 9.8% 18.9% 23.1% 24.8%
Autumn Becker 1.7% 1.2% 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 4.0% 4.1% 8.2% 16.1% 26.8% 31.1%
Nathan Drezner 5.9% 5.5% 5.4% 7.0% 7.9% 9.6% 11.7% 13.0% 14.1% 12.7% 6.0% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.