Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Memoli 9.6% 9.5% 10.4% 10.7% 10.9% 11.0% 12.4% 11.9% 7.3% 4.8% 0.9% 0.6%
Coleen Ross 3.2% 3.0% 4.1% 5.2% 5.0% 6.8% 8.0% 12.4% 17.4% 15.8% 14.1% 5.0%
Nicholas Giacobbe 14.7% 11.1% 13.5% 10.9% 12.2% 13.4% 9.8% 8.3% 3.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
John Duncan 9.7% 10.8% 11.1% 12.7% 11.4% 11.9% 10.5% 9.5% 6.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Nathan Drezner 4.3% 7.0% 5.5% 8.7% 8.3% 8.8% 11.8% 12.3% 14.0% 11.8% 5.4% 2.1%
John Reyes 16.8% 14.0% 15.3% 12.8% 12.6% 10.0% 7.8% 6.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Henry Sharpe 20.2% 18.8% 15.8% 12.3% 9.9% 9.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Lucie Ford 11.4% 12.9% 10.4% 10.6% 11.7% 9.7% 11.3% 9.6% 6.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.5%
Caroline Salas 7.0% 8.7% 8.8% 10.7% 11.1% 11.8% 11.3% 10.6% 11.7% 6.3% 1.6% 0.4%
Nathaniel Wiener 0.5% 1.2% 2.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 4.5% 8.7% 14.3% 22.8% 37.3%
Autumn Becker 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.9% 2.3% 2.2% 5.0% 4.5% 8.3% 15.5% 27.5% 29.8%
Sabrina McDonnell 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.8% 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 6.4% 10.4% 19.2% 24.7% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.