Race 6A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Memoli 10.1% 8.3% 10.4% 10.7% 12.8% 12.5% 11.5% 9.8% 8.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3%
John Duncan 9.3% 10.8% 11.4% 11.9% 11.4% 12.1% 11.4% 10.4% 7.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Henry Sharpe 20.5% 15.3% 15.6% 14.6% 11.8% 8.6% 6.2% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Nathan Drezner 4.7% 5.6% 5.9% 7.1% 9.0% 9.5% 13.0% 12.8% 14.4% 10.8% 5.5% 1.7%
Nicholas Giacobbe 12.8% 14.0% 12.8% 12.6% 10.8% 12.2% 8.8% 7.7% 4.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Nathaniel Wiener 1.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 2.7% 2.7% 3.3% 4.0% 7.2% 14.3% 23.0% 38.8%
Caroline Salas 7.2% 9.4% 9.2% 9.8% 9.6% 10.6% 11.1% 12.8% 9.6% 6.8% 3.1% 0.8%
Lucie Ford 12.1% 12.1% 10.2% 11.5% 11.2% 9.1% 11.5% 10.1% 6.3% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2%
John Reyes 15.6% 18.3% 15.5% 12.1% 11.6% 10.4% 6.9% 5.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleen Ross 3.8% 3.0% 4.6% 5.1% 4.4% 7.4% 9.2% 10.9% 17.7% 16.1% 13.6% 4.2%
Sabrina McDonnell 1.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.2% 2.7% 3.2% 4.1% 6.3% 10.4% 17.8% 26.4% 23.2%
Autumn Becker 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 2.0% 1.7% 3.0% 5.0% 9.4% 17.8% 24.3% 30.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.