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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.31+5.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.52+1.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94+0.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.99+0.79vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-0.58vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.24+0.43vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82-3.87vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.62+0.14vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.75-0.57vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.04vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.21-1.54vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-2.42-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33McGill University0.310.1%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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3.05Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.79Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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6.43Northeastern University0.240.0%1st Place
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3.13Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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8.14Boston University-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.43Bentley University-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.96University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.46Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.1Brandeis University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malich Altman | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 15.5% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 24.9% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Fiona McKellar | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Romain Astie | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 23.9% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ziobro | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 5.3% |
| Rebecca Biwer | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 4.7% |
| Jenna O'del | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 20.4% | 21.8% | 9.9% |
| Vick Xu | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 28.7% | 14.4% |
| Wesley Dickerson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 15.8% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.