← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Fiona McKellar 11.2% 11.9% 14.4% 14.8% 14.4% 15.3% 8.5% 6.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Grace Vincens 22.1% 21.7% 17.3% 13.7% 12.0% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Gabriel Hannon 26.0% 21.4% 18.0% 14.0% 11.0% 4.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 8.5% 11.2% 11.9% 15.1% 12.1% 15.0% 11.4% 9.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Malich Altman 4.8% 5.3% 7.0% 8.2% 10.5% 12.8% 15.4% 13.9% 11.3% 6.8% 3.6% 0.4%
Charlotte Lenz 16.6% 16.9% 15.8% 15.2% 14.7% 9.8% 6.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Vick Xu 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 6.8% 9.6% 12.7% 18.9% 26.3% 12.9%
Rebecca Biwer 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 3.1% 4.6% 5.8% 8.7% 12.1% 17.0% 20.6% 15.1% 6.3%
Sarah Ziobro 2.0% 1.5% 3.2% 2.9% 4.7% 7.6% 11.2% 14.1% 19.7% 16.3% 13.6% 3.2%
Jenna O'del 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 3.4% 3.2% 8.2% 9.4% 14.0% 21.4% 22.0% 10.3%
Romain Astie 4.0% 4.5% 5.4% 7.7% 8.8% 14.0% 14.3% 17.2% 13.0% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8%
Wesley Dickerson 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 4.1% 6.4% 15.4% 66.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.