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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+3.43vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.82+1.20vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.52+0.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.99+0.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.94-1.93vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.21+3.37vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.31-0.83vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.75+0.43vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.62-0.80vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.24-3.60vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.88vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-2.42-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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3.2Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.07Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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9.37Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.17McGill University0.310.1%1st Place
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8.43Bentley University-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston University-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.4Northeastern University0.240.0%1st Place
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9.12University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.09Brandeis University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona McKellar | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 21.8% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 16.5% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 24.8% | 21.1% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vick Xu | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 27.5% | 13.8% |
| Malich Altman | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Biwer | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 6.0% |
| Sarah Ziobro | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 3.4% |
| Romain Astie | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Jenna O'del | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 23.2% | 10.5% |
| Wesley Dickerson | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 14.4% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.