Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Fiona McKellar 11.8% 12.9% 11.6% 14.9% 15.2% 15.7% 9.3% 4.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 9.2% 9.5% 14.0% 11.6% 14.5% 13.8% 14.1% 8.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Charlotte Lenz 16.5% 17.2% 14.9% 15.3% 13.5% 11.9% 6.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Gabriel Hannon 25.2% 20.1% 19.4% 15.2% 10.5% 4.5% 3.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Vincens 23.1% 21.2% 17.6% 13.0% 11.0% 7.1% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Romain Astie 4.1% 5.6% 6.4% 7.2% 8.4% 13.2% 16.3% 16.3% 12.0% 7.7% 2.5% 0.3%
Rebecca Biwer 2.0% 2.6% 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 5.8% 9.1% 13.5% 15.5% 19.6% 16.0% 6.2%
Jenna O'del 1.4% 1.0% 2.5% 2.2% 4.0% 3.9% 7.9% 9.7% 15.1% 18.2% 24.7% 9.4%
Malich Altman 3.7% 5.6% 7.0% 10.3% 10.5% 13.9% 15.5% 15.3% 10.2% 6.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Vick Xu 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 3.1% 2.3% 5.5% 8.9% 14.9% 19.5% 25.1% 13.4%
Sarah Ziobro 2.1% 2.1% 1.5% 4.0% 4.0% 7.1% 7.2% 14.4% 18.7% 18.7% 14.8% 5.4%
Wesley Dickerson 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 5.2% 7.0% 15.0% 65.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.