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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.82+2.27vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.52+1.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+1.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.94-0.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-0.63vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.24+0.45vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.31-0.85vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.75+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.03-0.02vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.21-0.68vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-2.42+0.11vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.62-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.8Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.05Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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6.45Northeastern University0.240.0%1st Place
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6.15McGill University0.310.1%1st Place
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8.43Bentley University-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.98University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.32Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.11Brandeis University-2.420.0%1st Place
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8.29Boston University-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Vincens | 21.7% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 15.3% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 10.8% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 24.3% | 22.4% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona McKellar | 12.7% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Romain Astie | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Malich Altman | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Biwer | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 5.5% |
| Jenna O'del | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 22.4% | 8.5% |
| Vick Xu | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 19.7% | 27.1% | 13.4% |
| Wesley Dickerson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 67.2% |
| Sarah Ziobro | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.