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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.99+3.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.52+1.78vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+1.36vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82-0.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.94-1.93vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.21+3.37vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.75+1.34vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.31-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.03-0.02vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.24-3.67vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.62-2.62vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-2.42-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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3.23Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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3.07Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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9.37Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.34Bentley University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.19McGill University0.310.1%1st Place
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8.98University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.33Northeastern University0.240.0%1st Place
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8.38Boston University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.09Brandeis University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 15.0% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fiona McKellar | 12.4% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 22.0% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 25.1% | 21.3% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vick Xu | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 20.9% | 26.7% | 14.0% |
| Rebecca Biwer | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 5.6% |
| Malich Altman | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jenna O'del | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 22.5% | 6.7% |
| Romain Astie | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Ziobro | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 6.0% |
| Wesley Dickerson | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.