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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.05+2.88vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.41+2.45vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.26+0.46vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-1.75vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52-2.00vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.61-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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4.88University of Victoria-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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3.25Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.0Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Victoria0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 40.7% | 24.6% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 23.6% | 23.6% |
| Colin Bishop | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 41.2% |
| Kendall Kracke | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 16.2% | 23.1% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 10.3% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 8.8% |
| Jordan Pow | 14.2% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.