← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+6.52vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.70vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.20+6.98vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.59+4.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.73vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College0.50+6.68vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.98+0.17vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University2.10-1.44vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+2.03vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College0.85+1.23vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.59-0.34vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University1.69-3.91vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.39-5.12vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.30-5.26vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University1.44-5.32vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.13-2.31vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-7.96vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan-0.26-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.6%1st Place
-
6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.319.2%1st Place
-
9.98Connecticut College1.204.5%1st Place
-
8.38Old Dominion University1.595.8%1st Place
-
6.73University of Pennsylvania2.169.4%1st Place
-
12.68SUNY Maritime College0.501.7%1st Place
-
7.17Fordham University1.988.8%1st Place
-
6.56Jacksonville University2.1010.2%1st Place
-
11.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.6%1st Place
-
11.23Eckerd College0.853.4%1st Place
-
10.66Northeastern University1.593.2%1st Place
-
8.09Florida State University1.696.3%1st Place
-
7.88Boston University1.397.3%1st Place
-
8.74Webb Institute1.306.2%1st Place
-
9.68George Washington University1.444.3%1st Place
-
13.69University of Wisconsin0.131.7%1st Place
-
9.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.674.9%1st Place
-
15.23University of Michigan-0.261.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 11.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Peter Foley | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.