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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.17+1.49vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.39+1.57vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.64+0.24vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.31-0.23vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.50-2.47vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.10-1.29vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.14-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Tufts University2.170.3%1st Place
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3.57McGill University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.24Queen's University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.77McGill University1.310.1%1st Place
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3.53Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.71Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.69Amherst College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Patterson | 34.0% | 24.2% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Wesley Yland | 14.0% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 4.4% |
| Arielle Morgan | 17.6% | 20.3% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 13.5% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 4.3% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 14.2% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Josh Basseches | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 27.7% | 41.1% |
| Joshua McAuliffe | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 27.0% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.