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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.41+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.61+0.84vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.05-0.07vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.26-1.59vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.38University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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3.84University of Victoria0.610.1%1st Place
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3.18Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.93University of Victoria-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.41Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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3.83Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 35.2% | 25.4% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Colin Bishop | 4.8% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 22.5% | 37.6% |
| Jordan Pow | 13.0% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 7.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 19.8% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 26.6% |
| Kendall Kracke | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 16.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 13.0% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 19.5% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.