← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.53+1.45vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.03+1.12vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.52+1.00vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.26+0.41vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria0.61-1.14vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria-0.05-1.15vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria-0.41-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.45University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
-
3.12Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
-
4.0Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
-
4.41Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
-
3.86University of Victoria0.610.1%1st Place
-
4.85University of Victoria-0.050.1%1st Place
-
5.31University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 35.3% | 25.3% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 20.0% | 22.9% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 11.8% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 10.2% |
| Kendall Kracke | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 14.7% |
| Jordan Pow | 10.5% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 7.9% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 7.8% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 24.4% |
| Colin Bishop | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 20.9% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.