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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.05+2.88vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.61-0.17vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-1.80vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.26-1.60vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.41-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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4.88University of Victoria-0.050.1%1st Place
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3.98Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Victoria0.610.1%1st Place
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3.2Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.4Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 35.6% | 25.2% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Daniel | 6.7% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 23.1% | 24.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 11.3% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 8.9% |
| Jordan Pow | 13.5% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 17.3% | 24.2% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Kendall Kracke | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 15.7% |
| Colin Bishop | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.