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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.80vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.60+2.67vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.42+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.60-0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.03-0.69vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.24-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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4.67Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.76Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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3.22Western Washington University0.240.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 52.7% | 25.7% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Shear | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 18.5% |
| Nikoline Alden | 9.7% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 5.7% |
| Steven Dieleman | 6.4% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 14.5% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.1% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 21.8% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 36.3% |
| Carter Erickson | 15.5% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.