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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.81vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.60+2.68vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.24+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.42+0.48vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.60-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.03-0.69vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.01-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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4.68University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.37Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.76Western Washington University-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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3.58Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 52.3% | 26.3% | 13.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Lukas Koch | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 18.5% |
| Carter Erickson | 12.6% | 22.7% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Steven Dieleman | 6.5% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 14.6% |
| Spencer Shear | 4.9% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 22.1% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 36.3% |
| Nikoline Alden | 12.8% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.